This is an example of the way you manage to misrepresent facts. He's getting a divorce. Why are you using married, filing jointly figures? For singles, income over $32 K is taxable. Not to mention that he's talking about keeping 100% of an IRA that's already at $100 K. I don't know what his estimated SS benefit is, but mine is just under $30 K - which would make me subject to taxes even on modest investment income. You have no idea of his age. If he's in his 40s or 50s, that $100 K could easily be large enough to be generating more than $10 K per year when he retires-even using your figures. That also doesn't include state taxes (fortunately, Kentucky has a $41 K income exclusion for retired people, but not all states are as generous - and I certainly expect to be making far more than that when I retire, anyway - as do lots of people).
As I said - if someone thinks that they're going to pay zero taxes on their retirement income, they're free to do it your way. That is still consistent with my statement that everyone should consider taxes before trading pre-tax and after tax income.
If they think they WILL be paying taxes when they retire, then it is foolish not to consider it.
So, there are two scenarios:
1. They have no taxable income when they retire. In this case, both your position (never offset for taxes) and my position (consider the tax consequences) are valid.
2. They have taxable income when they retire. In this case, my position (consider the tax consequences) is valid and yours is not. I expect to be earning enough to be paying a lot of taxes when I retire (even if taxes don't go up - and most people think they will) and your advice would badly shortchange me.
It's really incredible that you keep trying to shove your position down people's throats when it is CLEARLY only valid for the subset of the population that will have no taxes when they retire. I thought that a financial planner was supposed to consider all the possibilities instead of using a 'one size fits all' approach for everyone.
The bolded it "pot calling the kettle black". You don't merely
suggest that people consider the tax consequences, you
insist never exchange retirement assets for other assets on a one to one ratio.
The entire point that I am trying to make is that no one has any idea what their tax bracket is going to be when they retire, unless they are already near retirement. Even you don't know. You think you know, but in reality you have absolutely no idea, because you cannot predict the future. In addition the "small subset" isn't your average guy in retirement...its people like you.
I do tax returns for a hundred or more retired people, in all kinds of different socio-economic brackets and I have yet to see ANYONE have annual SS benefits of greater than 24k, and its rare for benefits to even hit 20k.
100k in retirement assets does NOT annualize to "much more" than 10k a year of retirement income.
Your figure of 32k is also incorrect. On top of that the vast majority of people remarry.
Basically, what you are telling people to do is to spend a lot of legal bucks fighting over something that they have no idea what the correct answer is...and on top of that the judge also has no idea what the correct answer is.
Since the correct answer could be 0% all the way up to about 40%, with every possible number in between (and that allows for absolutely no changes to the tax code between now and the age of retirement), and the vast majority of the population are going to be somewhere between 0 and 15%
What is the future value of possibly 10k in legal fees now fighting over something that you do not have the correct answer to? It could easily be more than the potential future taxes on the current value of 1/2 of the retirement account.
Retirement assets have shrunk considerably in these socio-economic times. There is potentially great benefit in leaving them untouched so that they have an opportunity to recover.