Without getting to far into this. At the very end of model year, just a few weeks before the vehicles drop off the manufacturers web site, the manufacturer forces the dealers to buy unsold models. It gives them the vehicle with thousands of incentive dollars to dispose of the vehicle. If you analyze the vehicles in your region listed for sale, by finding the ones with the additional dollars factored in, you can determine a very good statistical analysis of the amount of additional hold-back involved. You then search out models in your travel range and determine if you desire one. Then call the dealer and negotiate a purchase price based on the alternative listed vehicle. You will need to provide a web site they can confirm the alternate dealers vehicle. If you are a professional negotiator you can already know exactly where to hit them with a price, trade in requirement etc... As long as you truly represent your trade that is. Once you come to an agreed price you get the names of the employees involved and go to test drive/purchase your vehicle. When they try to change the numbers on you (they always do), you go to the Manager, hit them with the facts, numbers agreed and your displeasure at their attempt to bait and switch. To achieve the best results you need to be an excellent salesperson, negotiator and statistician. The last one I bought had an MSRP of $43,400. Accounting for the "true" value of the trade, (they can inflate the trade in value to balance the holdback) I paid $25,500 for it.